2018-08-13 12:39:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow points out that the recent U.S. dollar strength shows a clear sign of investor confidence and optimism. Greenback appreciation reflects the fact that international capital continues to flow into the U.S. economy as the Federal Reserve accelerates its interest rate hike. Meanwhile, this dollar appreciation helps dampen commodity prices within healthy and reasonable bounds.
However, President Trump suggests in an earlier tweet that the strong dollar may put America at a competitive disadvantage. In fact, greenback strength can render U.S. export prices less competitive and so may exacerbate future trade deficits in the current account. In addition to these recent exchange rate gyrations, the Trump administration gradually reveals the precautionary motive behind the current trade war against China. This major trade dispute and its attendant measures shine light on the U.S. grand strategy that seeks to thwart China's economic rise as a global superpower.
It is plausible for the Trump administration to view China as an aggressive currency manipulator. As the Chinese renminbi continues to depreciate at a gradual pace, Chinese low-cost imports become more affordable to most American households. For these strategic reasons, the Trump administration needs to re-engage Chinese diplomats and economists in the next round of bilateral trade negotiations.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at [email protected] so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-02-03 08:27:00 Friday ET
Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms most stock market indices from 2017 to 2023. Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms the ma
2023-11-14 08:24:00 Tuesday ET
Thomas Sowell argues that some economic reforms inadvertently exacerbate economic disparities. Thomas Sowell (2019) Discrimination and econo
2022-11-25 09:29:00 Friday ET
Uniform field theory of corporate finance While the agency and precautionary-motive stories are complementary, these stories can be nested as special cas
2019-08-05 13:30:00 Monday ET
China continues to sell U.S. Treasury bonds amid Sino-U.S. trade truce uncertainty. In mid-2019, China reduces its U.S. Treasury bond positions by $20.5 bil
2024-01-31 14:33:00 Wednesday ET
The new world order of trade helps accomplish non-economic policy goals such as national security and technological dominance. To the extent that freer
2018-09-07 07:33:00 Friday ET
The Economist re-evaluates the realistic scenario that the world has learned few lessons of the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009 over the past deca